It seems like when people with minimal institutional knowledge about an industry begin their quest for "tech disruption" and exploit "market opportunities" they tend to make poor design choices from the beginning. Those poor design choices have massive unexpected consequences.
And before you know it, the captain of industry turns into a caricature of a villain from a Saturday morning animated space opera marketed to 7-13 year olds.
The ketamine NAZI has broken many laws and should be in prison! Any investor that is stupid enough to put monies in any of his scams should deserve to lose all of their monies!!!
Human physiology is not suited for Mars. Irreversible damage to our kidneys makes the others, like severe bone density loss and muscle wasting seem minor. NASA has known this for decades. Musk has to have been told this, likely several times, by Space Physiologists.
To say nothing of no water, toxic soil, enough gravity to keep muscles and organs functional, and the absence of an earthlike atmosphere and magnetosphere to shield humans from deadly cosmic and solar radiation. Of course, tech bros like Elon think that, with enough money, the realities of biology and physics shouldn't apply to them.
I've long been puzzled by the zeal of Musk investors to dismiss his decades-long record of failing to live up to his craziest promises and ignoring the laws of financial gravity. Then I remembered the Monty Python sketch about buildings created by hypnosis that can only remain standing as long as the residents believe in them. Now it all makes sense. Here's a video: https://youtu.be/1ujRE2IkEIo?si=WRSjKhkdchPJ26Mg
The analysis looks right as regards Mars. But it's also important to remember that establishing a base on the Moon makes no sense. Any exploration can be done using robots, and most of the big gains have already been realised, with detailed mapping, discovery of past water, establishment of chronology etc. Moon-based astronomy could be cool, but humans a liability rather than an asset there.
My guess is that the US state will enter crisis mode well before significant progress is made towards a moonbase. In particular, as you stress, Musk's entire empire is a house of cards. When it collapses, it will probably take Artemis with it.
This is useful, but it misses that Musk has sold Starship to NASA as the *lander* that takes astronauts to the lunar surface. That’s a large part of their NASA contract and in theory that mission (Artemis III) is due in 2028, with all the mad refuelling. Falcon Heavy can’t play that role. NASA has already opened bids for an alternative lander. If someone else can do that bit, for a one off mission or something that flies every year or two, they can use their giant, inefficient SLS that seems to work and which hugely reduces the complexity of the mission. If starship is toast, SpaceX might get cut out of NASA funded lunar stuff entirely.
I don't know anything about anything,
But
It seems like when people with minimal institutional knowledge about an industry begin their quest for "tech disruption" and exploit "market opportunities" they tend to make poor design choices from the beginning. Those poor design choices have massive unexpected consequences.
And before you know it, the captain of industry turns into a caricature of a villain from a Saturday morning animated space opera marketed to 7-13 year olds.
The ketamine NAZI has broken many laws and should be in prison! Any investor that is stupid enough to put monies in any of his scams should deserve to lose all of their monies!!!
Human physiology is not suited for Mars. Irreversible damage to our kidneys makes the others, like severe bone density loss and muscle wasting seem minor. NASA has known this for decades. Musk has to have been told this, likely several times, by Space Physiologists.
To say nothing of no water, toxic soil, enough gravity to keep muscles and organs functional, and the absence of an earthlike atmosphere and magnetosphere to shield humans from deadly cosmic and solar radiation. Of course, tech bros like Elon think that, with enough money, the realities of biology and physics shouldn't apply to them.
I've long been puzzled by the zeal of Musk investors to dismiss his decades-long record of failing to live up to his craziest promises and ignoring the laws of financial gravity. Then I remembered the Monty Python sketch about buildings created by hypnosis that can only remain standing as long as the residents believe in them. Now it all makes sense. Here's a video: https://youtu.be/1ujRE2IkEIo?si=WRSjKhkdchPJ26Mg
I do not see any purpose to humans living anywhere other than Earth. If the moon is worth mining, develop robotics.
Ooo, would Musk, Thiel, Andressen, Bezos, Zuckerberg and Yarvin move to the moon ? Couldn’t happen too soon for me.
The analysis looks right as regards Mars. But it's also important to remember that establishing a base on the Moon makes no sense. Any exploration can be done using robots, and most of the big gains have already been realised, with detailed mapping, discovery of past water, establishment of chronology etc. Moon-based astronomy could be cool, but humans a liability rather than an asset there.
My guess is that the US state will enter crisis mode well before significant progress is made towards a moonbase. In particular, as you stress, Musk's entire empire is a house of cards. When it collapses, it will probably take Artemis with it.
This is useful, but it misses that Musk has sold Starship to NASA as the *lander* that takes astronauts to the lunar surface. That’s a large part of their NASA contract and in theory that mission (Artemis III) is due in 2028, with all the mad refuelling. Falcon Heavy can’t play that role. NASA has already opened bids for an alternative lander. If someone else can do that bit, for a one off mission or something that flies every year or two, they can use their giant, inefficient SLS that seems to work and which hugely reduces the complexity of the mission. If starship is toast, SpaceX might get cut out of NASA funded lunar stuff entirely.
Wouldn’t that be a shame…..