
Trump’s popularity is plummeting faster than Musk’s Starship, even among some of his Republican “friends”. He needs to get his approval rating up, and fast, before he is “Julius Ceasared”. With the midterms rapidly approaching, and Trump facing impeachment calls, and the risk of removal if that goes ahead, Trump could soon be whispering “Et Tu, Vance.” This is all news to Trump, as he has never really needed approval to take what he wants before; he just “grabs them by the p***y.” After all, he sees a dictator in the mirror. So, what shall he do? Reconsider his position? Capitulate to the protestors? Stop violating the Constitution? We all know he doesn’t have the self-awareness or empathy for that. No, instead, I suspect he will start a war.
Let’s start at the beginning. 52% of Americans agree that he is a “dangerous dictator whose power should be limited before he destroys American democracy.” Only 39% of Americans are happy with Trump’s performance over his first 100 days, a new all-time-low record. But, possibly most damning for the ultra-capitalist US, 76% of Americans believe there will soon be a recession, and it will all be Trump’s fault.
Basically, Trump has an approval rating slightly worse than Epstein’s island Tripadvisor score.
How can Trump remedy this situation? His demonstrably crap policies are what is causing this backlash, but he can’t U-turn on them, otherwise his entire brand and raison d’être goes up in smoke. He is in a catch-22. But, there is one sure-fire way to bolster your political support: a good war.
This is known as the “Rally ‘round the flag effect”, which was first discovered and coined in 1970 by John Mueller. The idea is that, during a period of crisis, either the President becomes a symbol of national identity, or a lack of criticism from the opposition gives them incredible optics, or a combination of both, leading to their popularity booming. Mueller based his findings on events like the Cuban Missile Crisis, but this effect has kept on popping up ever since. H.W. Bush saw a massive upswing in approval during Desert Storm. Meanwhile, his Son’s approval rating went from 51% to a whopping 90% in the aftermath of 911. In fact, there is reason to believe that George Bush Jr. was so vicious towards the Middle East specifically to boost his approval ratings, as even he has admitted the Iraq invasion was unjustified.
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